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Goldman Sachs: Given that the moderate oversupply of 400,000 barrels per day and the current normalization of low valuation almost offset each other, the basic expectation is that the average price of Brent crude oil in 2025 will be $76 per barrel.Goldman Sachs: Two situations support the view that the reserve price of Brent crude oil is $70. Goldman Sachs: We find that when the price of Brent crude oil falls to the range of $60/barrel, the supply response measures of the United States will increase, and the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) tends to extend the production reduction around the current price level, which supports our view that the reserve price of Brent crude oil is $70/barrel.Securities Times: Deepen the reform of the capital market and lay a solid foundation for the coordinated development of investment and financing. The direct statement of the central economic work conference on the capital market includes two aspects: one is to "stabilize the stock market" and the other is to "deepen the comprehensive reform of investment and financing in the capital market, open up the blocking points of medium and long-term funds entering the market, and enhance the inclusiveness and adaptability of the capital market system". The reporter learned that the CSRC is currently studying and formulating an implementation plan to further comprehensively deepen the reform of the capital market, deepen the comprehensive reform of investment and financing in the capital market, and improve the institutional mechanisms to promote the high-quality development of listed companies and enhance the inherent stability of the market. It is reported that the CSRC will further improve the equity incentive system, focus on cultivating and expanding patient capital, comprehensively use various tools such as stocks, bonds and futures, improve the support policies for venture capital and private equity investment, guide better investment in early, small, long-term and hard technologies, help high-quality innovative enterprises to grow and develop, and provide support for China's economic transformation and upgrading and long-term development.

Fang Yi, Chief Strategy Officer of Guotai Junan: The conditions of "transformation cattle" in China stock market are forming four themes, focusing on mergers and acquisitions and self-control. Fang Yi, Chief Analyst of Guotai Junan Strategy, said at the main forum of Guotai Junan 2025 investment strategy that the bottom of China stock market has appeared, and the conditions of "transformation cattle" are forming; The key driving force of the market comes from the decline of risk-free interest rate and the boost of risk preference, and the economic expectation is expected to be revised up in 2025H2; The mid-line of the stock market is expected to get out of the N-rhythm. Theme recommendation: merger and reorganization/self-control/humanoid robot/self-consumption. 1) M&A and reorganization: the regulatory tolerance of cross-border M&A and acquisition of unprofitable assets has been improved, and we are optimistic about the traditional industry leaders who are the main enterprises of science and technology chain and benefit from the optimization of industry structure; 2) Self-control: global science and technology supply chain reconstruction, optimistic about the improvement of localization rate of advanced semiconductors/basic software; 3) Humanoid robot: mass production and application scenario expansion are accelerated, and key components such as dexterous hands/actuators are optimistic; 4) Self-satisfaction consumption: demographic changes have given birth to new consumption patterns, and we are optimistic about the high growth of secondary consumption/pet consumption.On the tariffs proposed by the Trump administration, Costco executives said that the company had faced tariffs in the past and believed that its businesses had the ability to cope with this situation.Qualcomm: CTO James Thompson will retire on February 3rd, 2025.

The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 94.7%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 5.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 94.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 4.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 73.7%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 22.3%.Market information: FTSE Film will increase the output of CMP slurry in Korea by 30%.Goldman Sachs: We estimate that if the price of Brent crude oil falls to the range of more than $50/barrel by the end of 2025, the growth rate of shale oil supply in the United States will fall below 100,000 barrels per day in 2025, which in turn will push the price of Brent crude oil up by $8 per barrel in 2025.